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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 45.03%. A win for Western United had a probability of 32.01% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.91%) and 0-2 (6.14%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western Sydney Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Western United | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
32.01% ( 0.31) | 22.96% ( 0.17) | 45.03% ( -0.48) |
| Both teams to score 63.98% ( -0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.98% ( -0.69) | 37.02% ( 0.68) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.79% ( -0.75) | 59.21% ( 0.74) |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.99% ( -0.16) | 23% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.19% ( -0.23) | 56.81% ( 0.23) |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.09% ( -0.45) | 16.91% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.04% ( -0.8) | 46.96% ( 0.8) |
| Score Analysis |
| Western United | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
| 2-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.16)2-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 3.66% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.25% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.06% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.34% 4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.13% Total : 32.01% | 1-1 @ 10.15% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 6.63% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.35% Total : 22.95% | 1-2 @ 9.03% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.91% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 6.14% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 5.35% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 3.93% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2.38% ( -0.08)2-4 @ 1.75% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 1.62% ( -0.04)Other @ 4.29% Total : 45.03% |
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