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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 48.34%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 27.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 0-1 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Western United | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
48.34% ( 0.57) | 24.2% ( -0.3) | 27.46% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 56.58% ( 0.77) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.52% ( 1.11) | 45.47% ( -1.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.19% ( 1.05) | 67.8% ( -1.06) |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.09% ( 0.67) | 18.91% ( -0.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.6% ( 1.11) | 50.4% ( -1.11) |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.77% ( 0.37) | 30.22% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.61% ( 0.45) | 66.38% ( -0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Western United | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
| 1-0 @ 9.52% ( -0.25) 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 7.93% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.27% ( 0.14)3-0 @ 4.4% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 2.19% ( 0.1)4-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.25% Total : 48.34% | 1-1 @ 11.38% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.28)2-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.2% | 0-1 @ 6.84% ( -0.26) 1-2 @ 6.81% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.1% Total : 27.46% |
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