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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 45.26%. A win for Western United had a probability of 31.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.64%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Western United |
45.26% ( -0.13) | 23.46% ( -0.08) | 31.28% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 61.73% ( 0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.19% ( 0.45) | 39.81% ( -0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.83% ( 0.46) | 62.16% ( -0.47) |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.08% ( 0.12) | 17.92% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.27% ( 0.21) | 48.72% ( -0.22) |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.21% ( 0.34) | 24.78% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.64% ( 0.48) | 59.36% ( -0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Western United |
| 2-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.64% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 6.57% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 5.25% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.76% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.66% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.26% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.78% Total : 45.26% | 1-1 @ 10.65% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 4.44% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.46% | 1-2 @ 7.43% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.2% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 4.32% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.66% Total : 31.28% |
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