SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 31.58% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.88%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brisbane Roar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
45.57% ( -0.01) | 22.85% ( -0) | 31.58% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 64.16% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.31% ( 0.02) | 36.69% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.15% ( 0.02) | 58.85% ( -0.01) |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.43% ( 0) | 16.57% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.64% ( 0) | 46.36% |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.91% ( 0.02) | 23.09% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.06% ( 0.02) | 56.94% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
| 2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.88% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.18% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.43% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.98% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.7% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.44% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.79% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.66% ( -0)Other @ 4.44% Total : 45.57% | 1-1 @ 10.08% 2-2 @ 6.64% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.83% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.94% ( 0)Other @ 0.36% Total : 22.85% | 1-2 @ 7.39% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.61% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.11% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.61% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.24% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.01% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.32% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.19% ( 0)Other @ 3.1% Total : 31.58% |
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