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Australian A-League | Gameweek 8
Dec 15, 2023 at 8.45am UK
Spotless Stadium
AU

Western Sydney
1 - 0
Adelaide United

Pierias (23')
Scicluna (75'), Marcelo (78')
Brillante (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Tunnicliffe (78'), Lopez (84')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Western Sydney Wanderers and Adelaide United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Western Sydney 3-4 Victory
Sunday, December 10 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Adelaide United 0-2 Brisbane Roar
Sunday, December 10 at 4am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 48.46%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 29.96% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.95%) and 2-0 (5.78%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western Sydney Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Western Sydney WanderersDrawAdelaide United
48.46% (-0.418 -0.42) 21.58% (0.052 0.05) 29.96% (0.364 0.36)
Both teams to score 68.02% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.74% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)31.25% (0.031000000000002 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.31% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)52.69% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.48% (-0.145 -0.14)13.52% (0.144 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.42% (-0.29 -0.29)40.57% (0.288 0.29)
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.65% (0.19 0.19)21.35% (-0.192 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.68% (0.294 0.29)54.31% (-0.296 -0.3)
Score Analysis
    Western Sydney Wanderers 48.46%
    Adelaide United 29.96%
    Draw 21.58%
Western Sydney WanderersDrawAdelaide United
2-1 @ 8.92% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.95% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-0 @ 5.78% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-0 @ 5.78% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.6% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.85% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.98% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-2 @ 2.3% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.93% (-0.038 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.19% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-3 @ 1.18% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-2 @ 0.92% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 48.46%
1-1 @ 8.92% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.89% (0.018 0.02)
0-0 @ 2.89% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 2.37% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 21.58%
1-2 @ 6.89% (0.055 0.05)
0-1 @ 4.46% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 3.55% (0.03 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.54% (0.048 0.05)
0-2 @ 3.44% (0.046 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.77% (0.033 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.37% (0.019 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.37% (0.026 0.03)
3-4 @ 0.91% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 29.96%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Western Sydney 3-4 Victory
Sunday, December 10 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 2-2 Western Sydney
Friday, December 1 at 9.35am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Sydney FC 0-1 Western Sydney
Saturday, November 25 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Western Sydney 2-0 Perth Glory
Saturday, November 11 at 6.30am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 2-2 Western Sydney
Sunday, November 5 at 4am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Western Sydney 5-0 Western Utd
Saturday, October 28 at 9.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Adelaide United 0-2 Brisbane Roar
Sunday, December 10 at 4am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Macarthur 4-3 Adelaide United
Monday, December 4 at 8am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Western Utd 1-3 Adelaide United
Sunday, November 26 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Adelaide United 1-5 Sydney FC
Saturday, November 11 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Victory 1-1 Adelaide United
Saturday, November 4 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Adelaide United 6-0 Melbourne City
Sunday, October 29 at 8am in Australian A-League


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