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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 46.86%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 31.19% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.94%) and 0-2 (5.74%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
31.19% ( 0.92) | 21.95% ( 0.4) | 46.86% ( -1.31) |
| Both teams to score 67.36% ( -0.95) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.58% ( -1.47) | 32.42% ( 1.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.94% ( -1.72) | 54.06% ( 1.73) |
| Wellington Phoenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.76% ( -0.21) | 21.23% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.86% ( -0.33) | 54.14% ( 0.34) |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.52% ( -0.98) | 14.48% ( 0.98) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.54% ( -1.92) | 42.46% ( 1.93) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
| 2-1 @ 7.13% ( 0.22) 1-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.34)2-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.24)3-1 @ 3.68% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.65% Total : 31.19% | 1-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.34) 2-2 @ 6.89% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.24)3-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.48% Total : 21.95% | 1-2 @ 8.9% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.94% ( 0.26)0-2 @ 5.74% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 5.73% ( -0.19)2-3 @ 4.44% ( -0.18)0-3 @ 3.7% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 2.77% ( -0.2)2-4 @ 2.15% ( -0.17)0-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.12)3-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.09)1-5 @ 1.07% ( -0.12)Other @ 3.53% Total : 46.86% |
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