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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 51.14%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 28.11% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.31%) and 2-0 (5.65%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne City | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
51.14% ( -0.04) | 20.75% ( 0.01) | 28.11% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 69.78% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.58% ( -0.02) | 28.42% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.73% ( -0.03) | 49.26% ( 0.03) |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.29% ( -0.02) | 11.7% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.18% ( -0.04) | 36.81% ( 0.04) |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.03% ( 0.01) | 20.97% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.27% ( 0.01) | 53.72% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Melbourne City | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
| 2-1 @ 8.82% 3-1 @ 6.31% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.65% ( -0)1-0 @ 5.27% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.93% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.04% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.38% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.64% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.17% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.45% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.38% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.13% ( -0)5-0 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 3.05% Total : 51.14% | 1-1 @ 8.23% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.89% ( 0)3-3 @ 2.57% ( -0)0-0 @ 2.45% ( 0)Other @ 0.62% Total : 20.75% | 1-2 @ 6.42% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 3.83% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.59% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.35% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.56% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.4% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0)3-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.66% Total : 28.11% |
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