Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 50.87%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 27.72% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.25%) and 3-1 (6.22%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western Sydney Wanderers would win this match.
Result | ||
Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Macarthur |
50.87% ( 0.78) | 21.41% ( 0.1) | 27.72% ( -0.88) |
Both teams to score 66.87% ( -1.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.96% ( -1.17) | 32.04% ( 1.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.39% ( -1.38) | 53.61% ( 1.38) |
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.95% ( -0.17) | 13.05% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.38% ( -0.36) | 39.61% ( 0.36) |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.91% ( -1.14) | 23.09% ( 1.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.06% ( -1.7) | 56.94% ( 1.7) |
Score Analysis |
Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Macarthur |
2-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.31) 3-1 @ 6.22% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 6.14% ( 0.34) 3-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.18) 4-1 @ 3.17% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.16% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 1.29% ( -0) 4-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.08) 5-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.3% Total : 50.87% | 1-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 6.71% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.19) 3-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.47% Total : 21.41% | 1-2 @ 6.59% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 4.42% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 3.28% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 3.24% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.02% Total : 27.72% |
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