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Australian A-League | Gameweek 10
Jan 1, 2024 at 6am UK
Spotless Stadium
M

Western Sydney
3 - 1
Macarthur

Antonsson (3'), Simmons (12'), Yuel (84')
Clisby (45+2')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Hollman (20')
Borges Rodrigues (12'), Jurman (27'), Lewis (45+3'), Jones (90+6')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Western Sydney Wanderers and Macarthur.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wellington 2-0 Western Sydney
Saturday, December 23 at 4.30am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Perth Glory 3-2 Macarthur
Saturday, December 23 at 11.30am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 50.87%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 27.72% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.25%) and 3-1 (6.22%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western Sydney Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Western Sydney WanderersDrawMacarthur
50.87% (0.776 0.78) 21.41% (0.099 0.1) 27.72% (-0.875 -0.88)
Both teams to score 66.87% (-1.129 -1.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.96% (-1.169 -1.17)32.04% (1.169 1.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.39% (-1.378 -1.38)53.61% (1.377 1.38)
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.95% (-0.17400000000001 -0.17)13.05% (0.175 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.38% (-0.35899999999999 -0.36)39.61% (0.358 0.36)
Macarthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.91% (-1.141 -1.14)23.09% (1.141 1.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.06% (-1.7 -1.7)56.94% (1.699 1.7)
Score Analysis
    Western Sydney Wanderers 50.87%
    Macarthur 27.72%
    Draw 21.41%
Western Sydney WanderersDrawMacarthur
2-1 @ 9.16% (0.154 0.15)
2-0 @ 6.25% (0.31 0.31)
3-1 @ 6.22% (0.063 0.06)
1-0 @ 6.14% (0.343 0.34)
3-2 @ 4.56% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-0 @ 4.24% (0.184 0.18)
4-1 @ 3.17% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.32% (-0.071 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.16% (0.08 0.08)
5-1 @ 1.29% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-3 @ 1.13% (-0.075 -0.08)
5-2 @ 0.95% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 50.87%
1-1 @ 8.99% (0.21 0.21)
2-2 @ 6.71% (-0.115 -0.11)
0-0 @ 3.01% (0.187 0.19)
3-3 @ 2.23% (-0.132 -0.13)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 21.41%
1-2 @ 6.59% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-1 @ 4.42% (0.131 0.13)
2-3 @ 3.28% (-0.171 -0.17)
0-2 @ 3.24% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.22% (-0.146 -0.15)
0-3 @ 1.58% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.2% (-0.106 -0.11)
1-4 @ 1.18% (-0.096 -0.1)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 27.72%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Wellington 2-0 Western Sydney
Saturday, December 23 at 4.30am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Western Sydney 1-0 Adelaide United
Friday, December 15 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Western Sydney 3-4 Victory
Sunday, December 10 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 2-2 Western Sydney
Friday, December 1 at 9.35am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Sydney FC 0-1 Western Sydney
Saturday, November 25 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Western Sydney 2-0 Perth Glory
Saturday, November 11 at 6.30am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Perth Glory 3-2 Macarthur
Saturday, December 23 at 11.30am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Macarthur 0-3 Wellington
Monday, December 18 at 8am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Sydney FC 0-2 Macarthur
Saturday, December 9 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Macarthur 4-3 Adelaide United
Monday, December 4 at 8am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Macarthur 1-1 Victory
Friday, November 24 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Melbourne City 3-3 Macarthur
Sunday, November 12 at 4am in Australian A-League


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