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WU
Australian A-League | Gameweek 8
Dec 15, 2023 at 7am UK
GMHBA Stadium
BR

Western Utd
2 - 1
Brisbane Roar

Penha (83' pen.), Risdon (90+1')
Aloisi (71'), Grimaldi (90+4')
Aloisi (0')
FT(HT: 0-0)
O'Shea (69' pen.)
Zabala (10'), O'Shea (31'), Lofthouse (37')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Western United and Brisbane Roar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Central Coast 4-0 Western Utd
Friday, December 8 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Adelaide United 0-2 Brisbane Roar
Sunday, December 10 at 4am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 42.49%. A win for Western United had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.81%) and 0-2 (5.82%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Western UnitedDrawBrisbane Roar
34.27% (-0.186 -0.19) 23.23% (0.004999999999999 0) 42.49% (0.179 0.18)
Both teams to score 63.85% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.45% (-0.083999999999996 -0.08)37.55% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.22% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)59.78% (0.089999999999996 0.09)
Western United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.99% (-0.14 -0.14)22% (0.138 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.68% (-0.21 -0.21)55.31% (0.208 0.21)
Brisbane Roar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.86% (0.037999999999997 0.04)18.13% (-0.041999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.9% (0.067 0.07)49.1% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Western United 34.27%
    Brisbane Roar 42.5%
    Draw 23.22%
Western UnitedDrawBrisbane Roar
2-1 @ 7.81% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 6.04% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 4.57% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.94% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.36% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.31% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.49% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.27% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 34.27%
1-1 @ 10.31% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.67% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.99% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.91% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 23.22%
1-2 @ 8.81% (0.022 0.02)
0-1 @ 6.81% (0.037 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.82% (0.039 0.04)
1-3 @ 5.01% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.79% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 3.31% (0.027 0.03)
1-4 @ 2.14% (0.011 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.62% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.41% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 42.5%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Central Coast 4-0 Western Utd
Friday, December 8 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Western Utd 0-1 Wellington
Saturday, December 2 at 6.30am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Western Utd 1-3 Adelaide United
Sunday, November 26 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Western Utd 0-1 Newcastle Jets
Saturday, November 11 at 4.30am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Macarthur 1-0 Western Utd
Saturday, November 4 at 6.30am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Western Sydney 5-0 Western Utd
Saturday, October 28 at 9.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Adelaide United 0-2 Brisbane Roar
Sunday, December 10 at 4am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 2-2 Western Sydney
Friday, December 1 at 9.35am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 2-1 Perth Glory
Sunday, November 26 at 4am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Central Coast 1-2 Brisbane Roar
Sunday, November 12 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Wellington 5-2 Brisbane Roar
Saturday, November 4 at 4.30am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 3-0 Sydney FC
Friday, October 27 at 9.45am in Australian A-League


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