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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 42.49%. A win for Western United had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.81%) and 0-2 (5.82%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Western United | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
34.27% ( -0.19) | 23.23% ( 0) | 42.49% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 63.85% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.45% ( -0.08) | 37.55% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.22% ( -0.09) | 59.78% ( 0.09) |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.99% ( -0.14) | 22% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.68% ( -0.21) | 55.31% ( 0.21) |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.86% ( 0.04) | 18.13% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.9% ( 0.07) | 49.1% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Western United | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
| 2-1 @ 7.81% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.04% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.57% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.94% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.48% Total : 34.27% | 1-1 @ 10.31% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.67% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.99% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.22% | 1-2 @ 8.81% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.81% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 5.01% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.79% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.31% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 2.14% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.62% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.78% Total : 42.5% |
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