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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 45.13%. A win for Western United had a probability of 30.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western Sydney Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Western United |
45.13% ( -0.26) | 24.45% ( 0.15) | 30.42% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 57.76% ( -0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.17% ( -0.63) | 44.83% ( 0.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.81% ( -0.61) | 67.19% ( 0.61) |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.01% ( -0.37) | 19.98% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.83% ( -0.59) | 52.16% ( 0.59) |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.19% ( -0.24) | 27.81% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.6% ( -0.31) | 63.4% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Western United |
| 2-1 @ 9.22% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.95% ( 0.14)2-0 @ 7.21% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.95% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 3.87% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.99% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.95% Total : 45.13% | 1-1 @ 11.45% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.45% | 1-2 @ 7.33% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.11% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.84% Total : 30.42% |
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