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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pakhtakor Tashkent win with a probability of 68.47%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Ahal had a probability of 12.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pakhtakor Tashkent win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.97%) and 1-2 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.12%), while for an Ahal win it was 1-0 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ahal | Draw | Pakhtakor Tashkent |
12.34% ( -1.06) | 19.19% ( -1.02) | 68.47% ( 2.09) |
| Both teams to score 46.83% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.64% ( 1.94) | 45.36% ( -1.94) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.3% ( 1.83) | 67.7% ( -1.83) |
| Ahal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.33% ( -0.49) | 46.68% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.76% ( -0.38) | 82.24% ( 0.38) |
| Pakhtakor Tashkent Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.82% ( 1.18) | 12.18% ( -1.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.17% ( 2.44) | 37.83% ( -2.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ahal | Draw | Pakhtakor Tashkent |
| 1-0 @ 4.33% ( -0.44) 2-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.23)2-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.19)3-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.96% Total : 12.35% | 1-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.48) 0-0 @ 5.69% ( -0.49)2-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.72% Total : 19.19% | 0-2 @ 12.6% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 11.97% ( -0.45)1-2 @ 9.6% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 8.84% ( 0.46)1-3 @ 6.74% ( 0.26)0-4 @ 4.65% ( 0.43)1-4 @ 3.55% ( 0.29)2-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.07)0-5 @ 1.96% ( 0.26)1-5 @ 1.49% ( 0.18)2-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.09)Other @ 3.15% Total : 68.47% |
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