SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pakhtakor Tashkent win with a probability of 69.42%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Ahal had a probability of 11.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pakhtakor Tashkent win was 2-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.3%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for an Ahal win it was 0-1 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pakhtakor Tashkent would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Pakhtakor Tashkent | Draw | Ahal |
69.42% ( 0.03) | 18.92% ( -0.01) | 11.66% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 45.54% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.08% ( -0.01) | 45.92% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.78% ( -0.01) | 68.22% ( 0.01) |
| Pakhtakor Tashkent Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.92% ( 0.01) | 12.08% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.39% ( 0.01) | 37.61% ( -0.01) |
| Ahal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.8% ( -0.04) | 48.2% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.62% ( -0.03) | 83.38% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pakhtakor Tashkent | Draw | Ahal |
| 2-0 @ 13% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 12.3% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.49% ( -0)3-0 @ 9.16% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.69% ( -0)4-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.53% 3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0)5-0 @ 2.05% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.49% 4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0)Other @ 3.12% Total : 69.41% | 1-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.82% ( 0)2-2 @ 3.46% ( -0)Other @ 0.66% Total : 18.92% | 0-1 @ 4.25% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.55% ( -0)Other @ 2.58% Total : 11.66% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
