SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pakhtakor Tashkent win with a probability of 50.93%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Al Fayha had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pakhtakor Tashkent win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.99%) and 1-2 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for an Al Fayha win it was 1-0 (8.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Al Fayha | Draw | Pakhtakor Tashkent |
23.1% ( 0.36) | 25.97% ( 0.09) | 50.93% ( -0.45) |
| Both teams to score 47.03% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.98% ( -0.03) | 56.02% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.89% ( -0.02) | 77.11% ( 0.02) |
| Al Fayha Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.35% ( 0.33) | 39.65% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.67% ( 0.31) | 76.33% ( -0.31) |
| Pakhtakor Tashkent Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.94% ( -0.21) | 22.06% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.6% ( -0.31) | 55.4% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Fayha | Draw | Pakhtakor Tashkent |
| 1-0 @ 8.09% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 5.66% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 3.74% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 1.74% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.39% Total : 23.1% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.75% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.27% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.73% Total : 25.97% | 0-1 @ 13.22% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 9.99% ( -0.11)1-2 @ 9.24% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 5.03% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 4.66% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.15% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.9% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.97% Total : 50.93% |
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