SM
| Team | Goals scored | Avg per game | Top scorer | |
| 1 | Al Gharafa | 29 | 3.22 | Brahimi |
| 2 | Al-Sadd | 21 | 3.00 | Afif |
| 3 | Al-Duhail | 18 | 2.57 | Olunga |
| 4 | Al Ahli | 17 | 1.89 | Sliti |
| 5 | Al-Rayyan | 16 | 1.78 | Guedes |
| 6 | Al Shamal | 15 | 1.67 | Gomes |
| 7 | Al Wakrah | 15 | 1.88 | Benyettou |
| 8 | Qatar SC | 15 | 1.67 | Tabata |
| 9 | Umm Salal | 15 | 1.67 | Delort |
| 10 | Al Arabi | 14 | 1.75 | Al Somah |
| 11 | Al Mu'aidar | 13 | 1.44 | Mbenza |
| 12 | Al Markhiya | 5 | 0.56 | Njie |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Duhail win with a probability of 52.62%. A win for Istiqlol Dushanbe had a probability of 25.51% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Duhail win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.39%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Istiqlol Dushanbe win was 1-2 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Duhail would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al-Duhail | Draw | Istiqlol Dushanbe |
52.62% ( -0.02) | 21.88% ( 0.01) | 25.51% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 62.93% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.7% ( -0.03) | 36.3% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.57% ( -0.03) | 58.43% ( 0.03) |
| Al-Duhail Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.02% ( -0.01) | 13.99% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.5% ( -0.03) | 41.5% ( 0.03) |
| Istiqlol Dushanbe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.16% ( -0) | 26.84% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.86% ( -0.01) | 62.15% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al-Duhail | Draw | Istiqlol Dushanbe |
| 2-1 @ 9.55% 1-0 @ 7.39% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.26% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.26% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.76% ( -0)3-2 @ 4.12% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.08% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.34% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.03% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.21% ( -0)5-0 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 3.69% Total : 52.62% | 1-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.28% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.75% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.81% ( -0)Other @ 0.32% Total : 21.88% | 1-2 @ 6.39% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.94% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.25% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.8% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.75% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.42% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.92% 2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.13% Total : 25.51% |
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