SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Fayha win with a probability of 45%. A win for Ahal had a probability of 29.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Fayha win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Ahal win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Fayha would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al Fayha | Draw | Ahal |
45% ( 0.24) | 25.41% ( -0.08) | 29.59% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 54.09% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.58% ( 0.25) | 49.42% ( -0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.54% ( 0.22) | 71.46% ( -0.22) |
| Al Fayha Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.06% ( 0.22) | 21.94% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.77% ( 0.33) | 55.22% ( -0.33) |
| Ahal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.3% ( 0.01) | 30.7% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.04% ( 0.01) | 66.95% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Fayha | Draw | Ahal |
| 1-0 @ 10.21% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.63% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.75% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.33% Total : 44.99% | 1-1 @ 12.06% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 5.4% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.4% | 0-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 7.13% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.03% Total : 29.59% |
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