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AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Apr 24, 2021 at 8pm UK
King Fahd International Stadium

Shabab Al-Ahli
3 - 1
AMGK

Abdalla Suhail (3'), Eduardo (11'), Mohamed Ahmed Husain Al Hashmi (30')
Naser (15'), Abdalla Suhail (43'), Abbas (90')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Gadoev (14')
Rakhmanov (28'), Tursunov (41')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai and AGMK.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai win with a probability of 51.29%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for AMGK had a probability of 21.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for an AMGK win it was 0-1 (8.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai would win this match.

Result
Shabab Al-Ahli DubaiDrawAMGK
51.29%27.25%21.46%
Both teams to score 41.94%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.3%61.7%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.48%81.51%
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.66%24.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.27%58.72%
AMGK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.43%44.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.41%80.59%
Score Analysis
    Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 51.28%
    AMGK 21.46%
    Draw 27.24%
Shabab Al-Ahli DubaiDrawAMGK
1-0 @ 15.32%
2-0 @ 10.83%
2-1 @ 8.75%
3-0 @ 5.1%
3-1 @ 4.12%
4-0 @ 1.8%
3-2 @ 1.67%
4-1 @ 1.46%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 51.28%
1-1 @ 12.38%
0-0 @ 10.84%
2-2 @ 3.54%
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 27.24%
0-1 @ 8.77%
1-2 @ 5.01%
0-2 @ 3.54%
1-3 @ 1.35%
0-3 @ 0.95%
2-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 21.46%

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