Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 38.67%. A win for Hoang Anh Gia Lai had a probability of 38.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.2%) and 0-2 (5.1%). The likeliest Hoang Anh Gia Lai win was 2-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Yokohama F Marinos in this match.
