Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 66.2%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 14.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 1-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.95%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 1-2 (4.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
