Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 39.83%. A win for Hoang Anh Gia Lai had a probability of 33.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Hoang Anh Gia Lai win was 1-0 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
