SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kaya win with a probability of 52.23%. A win for Incheon United had a probability of 25.96% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kaya win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.15%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Incheon United win was 1-2 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kaya | Draw | Incheon United |
52.23% ( 13.45) | 21.81% ( -2.29) | 25.96% ( -11.16) |
| Both teams to score 63.65% ( 2.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.45% ( 5.83) | 35.55% ( -5.82) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.39% ( 6.17) | 57.6% ( -6.17) |
| Kaya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.15% ( 7.59) | 13.85% ( -7.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.77% ( 13.22) | 41.23% ( -13.22) |
| Incheon United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.88% ( -3.85) | 26.12% ( 3.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.81% ( -5.47) | 61.18% ( 5.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kaya | Draw | Incheon United |
| 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.99) 1-0 @ 7.15% ( -0.2)2-0 @ 7.07% ( 1.41)3-1 @ 6.25% ( 1.89)3-0 @ 4.66% ( 1.75)3-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.92)4-1 @ 3.09% ( 1.41)4-0 @ 2.3% ( 1.18)4-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.81)5-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.7)4-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.3)5-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.57)Other @ 2.88% Total : 52.23% | 1-1 @ 9.6% ( -1.44) 2-2 @ 6.37% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.62% ( -1.16)3-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.24)Other @ 0.35% Total : 21.81% | 1-2 @ 6.44% ( -1.85) 0-1 @ 4.86% ( -2.31)0-2 @ 3.26% ( -2.12)1-3 @ 2.88% ( -1.27)2-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.35)0-3 @ 1.46% ( -1.24)1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.59)2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.24)Other @ 2.28% Total : 25.96% |
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