SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 69.18%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Kaya had a probability of 12.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.48%), while for a Kaya win it was 0-1 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Kaya |
69.18% ( -1.54) | 18.02% ( 0.61) | 12.8% ( 0.93) |
| Both teams to score 52.29% ( 0.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.12% ( -0.44) | 38.88% ( 0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.81% ( -0.47) | 61.19% ( 0.47) |
| Shandong Taishan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.83% ( -0.49) | 10.17% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.58% ( -1.14) | 33.42% ( 1.14) |
| Kaya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.21% ( 1.21) | 41.79% ( -1.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.75% ( 1.04) | 78.25% ( -1.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Kaya |
| 2-0 @ 11.1% ( -0.24) 1-0 @ 9.72% ( -0)2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 8.46% ( -0.38)3-1 @ 7.38% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 4.83% ( -0.32)4-1 @ 4.22% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 3.22% ( 0.07)5-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.2)5-1 @ 1.93% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 1.84% ( 0)Other @ 4.59% Total : 69.18% | 1-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.27) 0-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.19)3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.13% Total : 18.02% | 0-1 @ 3.71% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 3.7% ( 0.24)0-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.1)Other @ 1.47% Total : 12.8% |
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