SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sierra Leone | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Egypt | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Uganda | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Congo DR | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Zimbabwe | 3 | -5 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 58.95%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Uganda had a probability of 16.79%.
The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.34%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Uganda win it was 0-1 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Algeria in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Algeria.
| Result | ||
| Algeria | Draw | Uganda |
58.95% ( -0.03) | 24.26% ( 0.01) | 16.79% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 42.68% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.1% ( -0.02) | 56.89% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.19% ( -0.02) | 77.81% ( 0.02) |
| Algeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.84% ( -0.02) | 19.16% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.17% ( -0.03) | 50.82% ( 0.03) |
| Uganda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.79% ( 0.01) | 47.2% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.36% ( 0.01) | 82.64% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Algeria | Draw | Uganda |
| 1-0 @ 14.94% 2-0 @ 12.34% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.27% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.1% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.81% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.11% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.92% ( -0)5-0 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.72% Total : 58.94% | 1-1 @ 11.21% 0-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.48% ( 0)Other @ 0.52% Total : 24.25% | 0-1 @ 6.79% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.21% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.55% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 2.18% Total : 16.79% |
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