SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Egypt | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Uganda | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Congo DR | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Zimbabwe | 3 | -5 | 1 |
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ghana | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Mali | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Congo DR | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Niger | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uganda win with a probability of 41.36%. A win for Niger had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uganda win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Niger win was 0-1 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Uganda | Draw | Niger |
41.36% ( 0.7) | 26.57% ( 0.14) | 32.08% ( -0.83) |
| Both teams to score 51.55% ( -0.71) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.77% ( -0.79) | 53.23% ( 0.79) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.21% ( -0.67) | 74.79% ( 0.67) |
| Uganda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.61% ( 0.01) | 25.39% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.8% ( 0.01) | 60.2% ( -0.01) |
| Niger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.1% ( -0.95) | 30.9% ( 0.96) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.81% ( -1.14) | 67.19% ( 1.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Uganda | Draw | Niger |
| 1-0 @ 10.75% ( 0.33) 2-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 7.37% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 3.96% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.37% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.41% Total : 41.35% | 1-1 @ 12.63% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.85% ( 0.24)2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.57% | 0-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.42% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.14)0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.1)Other @ 3.03% Total : 32.08% |
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