SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Egypt | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Uganda | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Congo DR | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Zimbabwe | 3 | -5 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uganda win with a probability of 45.88%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Tanzania had a probability of 25.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uganda win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.42%) and 2-1 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.96%), while for a Tanzania win it was 0-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Uganda | Draw | Tanzania |
45.88% ( -0.32) | 28.47% ( 0.01) | 25.66% ( 0.31) |
| Both teams to score 42.81% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.33% ( 0.14) | 62.67% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.78% ( 0.11) | 82.23% ( -0.1) |
| Uganda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.6% ( -0.09) | 27.4% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.12% ( -0.12) | 62.88% ( 0.13) |
| Tanzania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.96% ( 0.36) | 41.04% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.41% ( 0.32) | 77.59% ( -0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Uganda | Draw | Tanzania |
| 1-0 @ 14.55% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 9.42% ( -0.1)2-1 @ 8.39% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.07% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.62% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.72% Total : 45.87% | 1-1 @ 12.96% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 11.24% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 3.74% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.52% Total : 28.45% | 0-1 @ 10.01% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.25% Total : 25.65% |
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