SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sierra Leone | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 89.33%. A draw had a probability of 8.5% and a win for Niger had a probability of 2.19%.
The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (16.33%) and 4-0 (11.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (3.94%), while for a Niger win it was 0-1 (1.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Algeria would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Algeria | Draw | Niger |
89.33% ( 1.3) | 8.48% ( -1.01) | 2.19% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 25.54% ( 0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.73% ( 3.18) | 37.27% ( -3.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.52% ( 3.35) | 59.48% ( -3.35) |
| Algeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.61% ( 0.87) | 5.39% ( -0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 78.86% ( 2.46) | 21.14% ( -2.45) |
| Niger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 27% ( 0.13) | 73% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 4.03% ( 0.04) | 95.97% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Algeria | Draw | Niger |
| 2-0 @ 16.78% ( -0.79) 3-0 @ 16.33% ( 0.1)4-0 @ 11.92% ( 0.68)1-0 @ 11.49% ( -1.19)5-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.73)2-1 @ 5.28% ( -0.22)3-1 @ 5.14% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.23)6-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.51)5-1 @ 2.19% ( 0.24)7-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.27)6-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.17)Other @ 3.58% Total : 89.31% | 0-0 @ 3.94% ( -0.64) 1-1 @ 3.62% ( -0.35)Other @ 0.92% Total : 8.48% | 0-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.19) Other @ 0.95% Total : 2.19% |
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