Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Namibia win with a probability of 40.54%. A win for Zambia had a probability of 35.51% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Namibia win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.4%) and 2-0 (5.89%). The likeliest Zambia win was 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
