SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Madagascar | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Guinea | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Burundi | 3 | -4 | 0 |
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | South Africa | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Namibia | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Madagascar win with a probability of 40.64%. A win for Namibia had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Madagascar win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Namibia win was 0-1 (10.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Madagascar | Draw | Namibia |
40.64% ( 0.02) | 28.24% ( -0) | 31.12% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 46.29% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.25% ( 0) | 59.74% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.96% ( 0) | 80.04% ( -0) |
| Madagascar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.17% ( 0.01) | 28.83% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.31% ( 0.02) | 64.69% ( -0.02) |
| Namibia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.04% ( -0.01) | 34.96% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.3% ( -0.01) | 71.7% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Madagascar | Draw | Namibia |
| 1-0 @ 12.53% 2-1 @ 8.19% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.8% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.4% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.23% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.79% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.06% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 1.64% Total : 40.63% | 1-1 @ 13.17% 0-0 @ 10.07% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.31% Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.22% | 0-1 @ 10.59% 1-2 @ 6.92% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.57% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.43% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.95% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.51% ( -0)Other @ 2.16% Total : 31.12% |
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