SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Ivory Coast | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 65.33%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Uruguay had a probability of 13.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.29%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Uruguay win it was 0-1 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Ivory Coast in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Ivory Coast.
| Result | ||
| Ivory Coast | Draw | Uruguay |
65.33% ( -0.27) | 21.35% ( 0.15) | 13.31% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 43% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.92% ( -0.32) | 52.08% ( 0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.19% ( -0.28) | 73.8% ( 0.27) |
| Ivory Coast Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.78% ( -0.2) | 15.21% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.13% ( -0.37) | 43.86% ( 0.36) |
| Uruguay Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.72% ( -0) | 49.28% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.84% ( -0) | 84.15% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ivory Coast | Draw | Uruguay |
| 1-0 @ 14.11% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 13.29% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 8.34% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 5.9% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 3.93% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2.78% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.97% Total : 65.33% | 1-1 @ 9.99% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 3.33% ( -0)Other @ 0.54% Total : 21.35% | 0-1 @ 5.31% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.59% Total : 13.31% |
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