SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Algeria | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Senegal | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Kenya | 3 | -4 | 3 |
| 4 | Tanzania | 3 | -6 | 0 |
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Ivory Coast | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 51.46%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Kenya had a probability of 21.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.72%) and 1-2 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Kenya win it was 1-0 (8.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kenya | Draw | Ivory Coast |
21.64% ( 0.32) | 26.91% ( -0.08) | 51.46% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 42.98% ( 0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.55% ( 0.53) | 60.46% ( -0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.42% ( 0.4) | 80.59% ( -0.39) |
| Kenya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.34% ( 0.64) | 43.66% ( -0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.16% ( 0.53) | 79.85% ( -0.52) |
| Ivory Coast Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.29% ( 0.12) | 23.71% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.16% ( 0.17) | 57.84% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kenya | Draw | Ivory Coast |
| 1-0 @ 8.58% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 5.12% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.97% Total : 21.64% | 1-1 @ 12.34% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.35% ( -0.2)2-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.53% Total : 26.9% | 0-1 @ 14.9% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 10.72% ( -0.13)1-2 @ 8.89% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 5.14% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 4.26% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.85% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.4% Total : 51.46% |
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