Zambia have been abysmal over the last couple of months, and we can hardly see anything changing in their clash against the reigning African champions. We are backing Ivory Coast to cruise to relatively routine win come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 65.16%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Zambia had a probability of 12.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.8%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for a Zambia win it was 0-1 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Ivory Coast in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Ivory Coast.

Result
Ivory Coast	Draw	Zambia
65.16% ( 0.25)	21.87% ( -0.13)	12.96% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 40.72% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.31% (

0.24)

54.69% (

-0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.98% (

0.19)

76.01% (

-0.19)

Ivory Coast Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.84% (

0.17)

16.15% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.4% (

0.3)

45.6% (

-0.3)

Zambia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.56% (

-0.06)

51.43% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.36% (

-0.04)

85.63% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Ivory Coast 65.15%

Zambia 12.96%

Draw 21.87%

Ivory Coast	Draw	Zambia
1-0 @ 15.14% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 13.8% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.18% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 5.58% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.54% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.52% Total : 65.15%	1-1 @ 10.07% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 8.31% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 3.05% ( -0) Other @ 0.44% Total : 21.87%	0-1 @ 5.52% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.26% Total : 12.96%