SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Gabon | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Comoros | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 4 | Ghana | 3 | -2 | 1 |
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Madagascar | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Guinea | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Burundi | 3 | -4 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Madagascar win with a probability of 41.66%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Comoros had a probability of 29.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Madagascar win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.4%) and 1-2 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.29%), while for a Comoros win it was 1-0 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Comoros in this match.
| Result | ||
| Comoros | Draw | Madagascar |
29.01% ( -0.74) | 29.33% ( 0.61) | 41.66% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 42.57% ( -1.88) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.05% ( -2.17) | 63.95% ( 2.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.85% ( -1.57) | 83.15% ( 1.58) |
| Comoros Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.1% ( -1.79) | 38.9% ( 1.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.37% ( -1.74) | 75.63% ( 1.74) |
| Madagascar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.68% ( -1) | 30.33% ( 1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.49% ( -1.21) | 66.51% ( 1.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Comoros | Draw | Madagascar |
| 1-0 @ 11.13% ( 0.35) 2-1 @ 6.27% ( -0.29)2-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.19)3-0 @ 1.66% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.15)Other @ 1.53% Total : 29% | 1-1 @ 13.29% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 11.79% ( 0.92)2-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.28)Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.33% | 0-1 @ 14.07% ( 0.73) 0-2 @ 8.4% ( 0.21)1-2 @ 7.93% ( -0.19)0-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.16)0-4 @ 1% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.08)Other @ 1.34% Total : 41.66% |
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