SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Gabon | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Comoros | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 4 | Ghana | 3 | -2 | 1 |
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Madagascar | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Guinea | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Burundi | 3 | -4 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Madagascar win with a probability of 40.89%. A win for Comoros has a probability of 30.53% and a draw has a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Madagascar win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.12%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Comoros win is 1-0 (10.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.23%).
| Result | ||
| Comoros | Draw | Madagascar |
30.53% ( 0.17) | 28.57% ( -0.33) | 40.89% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 45.18% ( 0.94) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.97% ( 1.14) | 61.03% ( -1.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.98% ( 0.85) | 81.01% ( -0.85) |
| Comoros Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.91% ( 0.75) | 36.09% ( -0.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.13% ( 0.75) | 72.87% ( -0.76) |
| Madagascar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.69% ( 0.65) | 29.31% ( -0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.72% ( 0.8) | 65.28% ( -0.8) |
| Score Analysis |
| Comoros | Draw | Madagascar |
| 1-0 @ 10.78% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 6.74% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 5.49% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.29% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.08)Other @ 1.96% Total : 30.53% | 1-1 @ 13.23% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 10.57% ( -0.46)2-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.14)Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.56% | 0-1 @ 12.98% ( -0.32) 1-2 @ 8.12% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 7.97% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.32% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.09)1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 1% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.54% Total : 40.89% |
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