SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Congo DR | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Zambia | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Tanzania | 3 | -3 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo DR win with a probability of 60.69%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Tanzania had a probability of 11.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Congo DR win was 1-0 with a probability of 22.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.38%) and 3-0 (7.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.88%), while for a Tanzania win it was 0-1 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 22.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Congo DR in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Congo DR.
| Result | ||
| Congo DR | Draw | Tanzania |
60.69% ( 0.45) | 27.45% ( -0.32) | 11.85% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 27.13% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 27.99% ( 0.53) | 72% ( -0.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 11.51% ( 0.32) | 88.49% ( -0.33) |
| Congo DR Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.12% ( 0.45) | 24.87% ( -0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.51% ( 0.62) | 59.48% ( -0.63) |
| Tanzania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 36.11% ( 0.11) | 63.88% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 7.49% ( 0.05) | 92.51% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Congo DR | Draw | Tanzania |
| 1-0 @ 22.1% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 15.38% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.14)2-1 @ 6.89% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 3.2% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 2.48% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.39% Total : 60.69% | 0-0 @ 15.88% ( -0.32) 1-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 27.44% | 0-1 @ 7.12% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 2.22% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.91% Total : 11.85% |
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