SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cameroon | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Cape Verde | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Ethiopia | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo DR win with a probability of 40.97%. A draw had a probability of 30.8% and a win for Ethiopia had a probability of 28.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Congo DR win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.54%) and 1-2 (7.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.99%), while for a Ethiopia win it was 1-0 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Congo DR would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ethiopia | Draw | Congo DR |
28.19% ( 0.03) | 30.84% ( 0.04) | 40.97% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 38.63% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 31.43% ( -0.11) | 68.57% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.69% ( -0.07) | 86.31% ( 0.07) |
| Ethiopia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.76% ( -0.03) | 42.24% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.36% ( -0.03) | 78.64% ( 0.03) |
| Congo DR Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.87% ( -0.11) | 33.12% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.28% ( -0.11) | 69.72% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ethiopia | Draw | Congo DR |
| 1-0 @ 12.05% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 5.74% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.65% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.49% ( 0)3-2 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 1.14% Total : 28.18% | 0-0 @ 13.99% ( 0.06) 1-1 @ 13.32% 2-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.36% Total : 30.84% | 0-1 @ 15.45% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.54% ( -0.02)1-2 @ 7.36% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.59% Total : 40.96% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
