Last Game: Angola 1-0 Botswana Thursday, November 17 at 1pm in International Friendlies
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Equatorial Guinea win with a probability of 58.94%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Botswana had a probability of 13.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Equatorial Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 20.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.31%) and 2-1 (7.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.29%), while for a Botswana win it was 0-1 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Equatorial Guinea would win this match.
0.08) 
-0.02) 
