SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cameroon | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Cape Verde | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Ethiopia | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ethiopia win with a probability of 50.79%. A win for Djibouti has a probability of 24.72% and a draw has a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ethiopia win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.59%) and 0-2 (8.93%). The likeliest Djibouti win is 1-0 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.63%).
| Result | ||
| Djibouti | Draw | Ethiopia |
24.72% ( 0.08) | 24.48% ( -0.02) | 50.79% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 53.16% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.18% ( 0.17) | 48.81% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.08% ( 0.15) | 70.92% ( -0.16) |
| Djibouti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.82% ( 0.16) | 34.18% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.12% ( 0.18) | 70.87% ( -0.18) |
| Ethiopia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.77% ( 0.04) | 19.23% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.07% ( 0.07) | 50.93% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Djibouti | Draw | Ethiopia |
| 1-0 @ 7.05% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 6.24% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.23% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.21% Total : 24.72% | 1-1 @ 11.63% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.57% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.48% | 0-1 @ 10.83% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 9.59% ( 0)0-2 @ 8.93% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 5.27% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 4.91% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.17% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 2.02% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.06% Total : 50.78% |
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