SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Gabon | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Comoros | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 4 | Ghana | 3 | -2 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gabon win with a probability of 62.78%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Congo DR had a probability of 12.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gabon win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.58%) and 2-1 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.18%), while for a Congo DR win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gabon | Draw | Congo DR |
62.78% ( -1.82) | 24.27% ( 0.64) | 12.96% ( 1.18) |
| Both teams to score 35.08% ( 1.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.49% ( 0.03) | 62.51% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.89% ( 0.02) | 82.11% ( -0.02) |
| Gabon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.11% ( -0.67) | 19.89% ( 0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.99% ( -1.1) | 52.01% ( 1.11) |
| Congo DR Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 43.79% ( 2.04) | 56.21% ( -2.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 11.41% ( 1.14) | 88.59% ( -1.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gabon | Draw | Congo DR |
| 1-0 @ 18.05% ( -0.41) 2-0 @ 14.58% ( -0.64)2-1 @ 8.4% ( 0.17)3-0 @ 7.85% ( -0.52)3-1 @ 4.52% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.17% ( -0.28)4-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.08)5-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.05% Total : 62.77% | 0-0 @ 11.18% ( -0.01) 1-1 @ 10.4% ( 0.42)2-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.2)Other @ 0.27% Total : 24.27% | 0-1 @ 6.44% ( 0.39) 1-2 @ 3% ( 0.3)0-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.22)Other @ 1.67% Total : 12.96% |
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