SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Netherlands | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Ecuador | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Qatar | 3 | -6 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 60.51%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Congo DR had a probability of 15.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.33%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for a Congo DR win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Senegal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Senegal | Draw | Congo DR |
60.51% ( -0.89) | 24.41% ( 0.45) | 15.07% ( 0.44) |
| Both teams to score 39.11% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.2% ( -0.82) | 59.8% ( 0.82) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.91% ( -0.63) | 80.08% ( 0.63) |
| Senegal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.31% ( -0.65) | 19.69% ( 0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.32% ( -1.07) | 51.68% ( 1.07) |
| Congo DR Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.7% ( 0.14) | 51.3% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.46% ( 0.1) | 85.54% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Senegal | Draw | Congo DR |
| 1-0 @ 16.41% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 13.33% ( -0.14)2-1 @ 8.9% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 7.23% ( -0.22)3-1 @ 4.82% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 2.94% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 1.96% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.35% Total : 60.5% | 1-1 @ 10.95% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 10.1% ( 0.31)2-2 @ 2.97% ( -0)Other @ 0.38% Total : 24.4% | 0-1 @ 6.74% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 3.66% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.43% Total : 15.07% |
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