SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Gambia | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Tunisia | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Mauritania | 3 | -7 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mauritania win with a probability of 46.46%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Congo DR had a probability of 23.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mauritania win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (7.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.86%), while for a Congo DR win it was 0-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mauritania | Draw | Congo DR |
46.46% ( 3.17) | 30.04% ( -0.88) | 23.51% ( -2.28) |
| Both teams to score 37.58% ( 0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 31.67% ( 1.25) | 68.33% ( -1.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.85% ( 0.81) | 86.15% ( -0.81) |
| Mauritania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.12% ( 2.41) | 29.88% ( -2.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.02% ( 2.82) | 65.98% ( -2.82) |
| Congo DR Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.59% ( -1.44) | 46.41% ( 1.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.97% ( -1.12) | 82.03% ( 1.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mauritania | Draw | Congo DR |
| 1-0 @ 16.75% ( 0.34) 2-0 @ 10.11% ( 0.83)2-1 @ 7.77% ( 0.35)3-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.58)3-1 @ 3.13% ( 0.33)4-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.24)3-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.16)Other @ 1.25% Total : 46.45% | 0-0 @ 13.86% ( -0.66) 1-1 @ 12.86% ( -0.25)2-2 @ 2.98% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.33% Total : 30.03% | 0-1 @ 10.64% ( -0.96) 1-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.31)0-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.55)1-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.19)Other @ 1.53% Total : 23.5% |
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