SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Egypt | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Uganda | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Congo DR | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Zimbabwe | 3 | -5 | 1 |
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sierra Leone | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 38.11%. A draw had a probability of 31.7% and a win for Congo DR had a probability of 30.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.85%) and 1-2 (6.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15%), while for a Congo DR win it was 1-0 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 15% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Congo DR | Draw | Ivory Coast |
30.15% ( 0.93) | 31.74% ( -0.12) | 38.11% ( -0.81) |
| Both teams to score 37.31% ( 0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 29.53% ( 0.47) | 70.47% ( -0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 12.47% ( 0.3) | 87.53% ( -0.3) |
| Congo DR Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.27% ( 1.05) | 41.73% ( -1.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.8% ( 0.9) | 78.2% ( -0.9) |
| Ivory Coast Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.03% ( -0.26) | 35.96% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.26% ( -0.27) | 72.74% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Congo DR | Draw | Ivory Coast |
| 1-0 @ 13.11% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 5.86% ( 0.19)2-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 1.71% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.07% Total : 30.15% | 0-0 @ 15% ( -0.27) 1-1 @ 13.41% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 3% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.32% Total : 31.72% | 0-1 @ 15.34% ( -0.39) 0-2 @ 7.85% ( -0.25)1-2 @ 6.86% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.02% Total : 38.1% |
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