SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Senegal | 3 | 7 | 9 |
| 2 | Cameroon | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Guinea | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Gambia | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea win with a probability of 49.11%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Congo DR had a probability of 21.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.76%) and 2-1 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.07%), while for a Congo DR win it was 0-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Guinea in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Guinea.
| Result | ||
| Guinea | Draw | Congo DR |
49.11% ( 0.19) | 29.06% ( 0.11) | 21.82% ( -0.3) |
| Both teams to score 38.19% ( -0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.27% ( -0.5) | 66.73% ( 0.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.92% ( -0.34) | 85.08% ( 0.34) |
| Guinea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.29% ( -0.15) | 27.71% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.72% ( -0.19) | 63.28% ( 0.19) |
| Congo DR Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.83% ( -0.62) | 47.17% ( 0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.38% ( -0.47) | 82.62% ( 0.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Guinea | Draw | Congo DR |
| 1-0 @ 16.77% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 10.76% ( 0.11)2-1 @ 8.09% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 4.6% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.46% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.48% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.53% Total : 49.1% | 0-0 @ 13.07% ( 0.24) 1-1 @ 12.6% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.35% Total : 29.06% | 0-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.74% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.47% Total : 21.82% |
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