SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Congo DR | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Zambia | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Tanzania | 3 | -3 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo DR win with a probability of 47.56%. A draw had a probability of 32.2% and a win for Tanzania had a probability of 20.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Congo DR win was 0-1 with a probability of 19.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11%) and 1-2 (6.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (17.8%), while for a Tanzania win it was 1-0 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Congo DR would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tanzania | Draw | Congo DR |
20.24% ( -0.03) | 32.2% ( 0.01) | 47.56% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 30.78% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 24.95% ( -0.04) | 75.05% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 9.7% ( -0.02) | 90.3% ( 0.02) |
| Tanzania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.87% ( -0.06) | 54.13% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.64% ( -0.04) | 87.35% ( 0.04) |
| Congo DR Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.1% ( -0.01) | 32.9% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.53% ( -0.01) | 69.47% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tanzania | Draw | Congo DR |
| 1-0 @ 10.93% 2-1 @ 3.73% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.23% Total : 20.24% | 0-0 @ 17.8% ( 0.02) 1-1 @ 12.15% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 32.19% | 0-1 @ 19.79% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 11% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 6.76% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.08% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.5% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.29% Total : 47.55% |
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