Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Guinea win with a probability of 60.04%. A draw has a probability of 24.5% and a win for Ethiopia has a probability of 15.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guinea win is 1-0 with a probability of 16.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (13.11%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Ethiopia win it is 0-1 (6.8%).