SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sierra Leone | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 64.74%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Comoros had a probability of 14.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.25%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Comoros win it was 0-1 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ivory Coast would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ivory Coast | Draw | Comoros |
64.74% ( 0.34) | 20.9% ( -0.15) | 14.36% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 46.95% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.79% ( 0.26) | 48.21% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.63% ( 0.24) | 70.36% ( -0.24) |
| Ivory Coast Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.85% ( 0.19) | 14.15% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.19% ( 0.37) | 41.81% ( -0.37) |
| Comoros Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.69% ( -0.11) | 45.31% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.82% ( -0.09) | 81.18% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ivory Coast | Draw | Comoros |
| 1-0 @ 12.53% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 12.25% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 6.33% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 3.91% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 3.09% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.45% Total : 64.72% | 1-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 3.84% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.73% Total : 20.9% | 0-1 @ 5.07% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.3% Total : 14.36% |
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