Eq Guinea
0 - 1
Ivory Coast

Nlavo (67')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Gradel (5')
Sangare (31')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Equatorial Guinea and Ivory Coast, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Equatorial Guinea 0-2 Ivory Coast

Ivory Coast have more experience at this level and are huge favourites to come away with all three points in this one. We fancy them to come out on top at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Equatorial Guinea win with a probability of 39.08%. A win for Ivory Coast had a probability of 33.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Equatorial Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Ivory Coast win was 0-1 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Ivory Coast would win this match.

Result
Equatorial Guinea	Draw	Ivory Coast
39.08%	27.29%	33.64%

Both teams to score 49.74%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.27%

55.72%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.14%

76.86%

Equatorial Guinea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.21%

27.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.63%

63.37%

Ivory Coast Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.88%

31.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.55%

67.45%

Score Analysis

Equatorial Guinea 39.07%

Ivory Coast 33.63%

Draw 27.28%

Equatorial Guinea	Draw	Ivory Coast
1-0 @ 11.07% 2-1 @ 8.28% 2-0 @ 7.09% 3-1 @ 3.53% 3-0 @ 3.03% 3-2 @ 2.06% 4-1 @ 1.13% 4-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.92% Total : 39.07%	1-1 @ 12.92% 0-0 @ 8.65% 2-2 @ 4.83% Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.28%	0-1 @ 10.09% 1-2 @ 7.55% 0-2 @ 5.89% 1-3 @ 2.94% 0-3 @ 2.29% 2-3 @ 1.88% Other @ 3% Total : 33.63%