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Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 18, 2022 at 11pm UK
 
ZN

Morocco
C-C
Zimbabwe

 
Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Group Stage clash between Morocco and Zimbabwe.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 65.6%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Zimbabwe had a probability of 13.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.63%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.81%), while for a Zimbabwe win it was 0-1 (5%).

Result
MoroccoDrawZimbabwe
65.6% (0.255 0.25) 20.72% (0.032 0.03) 13.69% (-0.286 -0.29)
Both teams to score 45.81% (-0.833 -0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.19% (-0.717 -0.72)48.81% (0.717 0.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.09% (-0.654 -0.65)70.91% (0.65400000000001 0.65)
Morocco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.93% (-0.151 -0.15)14.07% (0.15 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.33% (-0.293 -0.29)41.67% (0.294 0.29)
Zimbabwe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.31% (-0.876 -0.88)46.69% (0.875 0.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.75% (-0.677 -0.68)82.25% (0.676 0.68)
Score Analysis
    Morocco 65.6%
    Zimbabwe 13.69%
    Draw 20.72%
MoroccoDrawZimbabwe
1-0 @ 12.88% (0.31 0.31)
2-0 @ 12.63% (0.24 0.24)
2-1 @ 9.62% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
3-0 @ 8.26% (0.109 0.11)
3-1 @ 6.29% (-0.071 -0.07)
4-0 @ 4.05% (0.032 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.08% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.4% (-0.087 -0.09)
5-0 @ 1.59% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 1.21% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.18% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 65.6%
1-1 @ 9.81% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 6.57% (0.192 0.19)
2-2 @ 3.67% (-0.113 -0.11)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 20.72%
0-1 @ 5% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 3.74% (-0.094 -0.09)
0-2 @ 1.91% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-3 @ 0.95% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-3 @ 0.93% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 1.16%
Total : 13.69%

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