Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Morocco | 3 | 3 | 7 |
2 | Gabon | 3 | 1 | 5 |
3 | Comoros | 3 | -2 | 3 |
4 | Ghana | 3 | -2 | 1 |
Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Egypt | 3 | 5 | 9 |
2 | Uganda | 3 | 0 | 4 |
3 | Congo DR | 3 | 0 | 3 |
4 | Zimbabwe | 3 | -5 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 59.53%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Congo DR had a probability of 17.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.07%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Congo DR win it was 0-1 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Morocco would win this match.
Result | ||
Morocco | Draw | Congo DR |
59.53% | 22.61% | 17.86% |
Both teams to score 49.27% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.88% | 49.13% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.81% | 71.2% |
Morocco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.87% | 16.13% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.44% | 45.56% |
Congo DR Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.74% | 41.26% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.21% | 77.79% |
Score Analysis |
Morocco | Draw | Congo DR |
1-0 @ 12.14% 2-0 @ 11.07% 2-1 @ 9.81% 3-0 @ 6.74% 3-1 @ 5.96% 4-0 @ 3.07% 4-1 @ 2.72% 3-2 @ 2.64% 4-2 @ 1.2% 5-0 @ 1.12% 5-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.06% Total : 59.52% | 1-1 @ 10.74% 0-0 @ 6.66% 2-2 @ 4.34% Other @ 0.86% Total : 22.6% | 0-1 @ 5.89% 1-2 @ 4.76% 0-2 @ 2.61% 1-3 @ 1.4% 2-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.92% Total : 17.86% |
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