SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Egypt | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Uganda | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Congo DR | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Zimbabwe | 3 | -5 | 1 |
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Gabon | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Comoros | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 4 | Ghana | 3 | -2 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 37.68%. A win for Congo DR had a probability of 35.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Congo DR win was 1-0 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Congo DR | Draw | Morocco |
| 35.7% | 26.62% | 37.68% |
| Both teams to score 52.14% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.19% | 52.81% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.56% | 74.43% |
| Congo DR Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.62% | 28.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.88% | 64.12% |
| Morocco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.8% | 27.2% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.38% | 62.62% |
| Score Analysis |
| Congo DR | Draw | Morocco |
| 1-0 @ 9.72% 2-1 @ 7.97% 2-0 @ 6.12% 3-1 @ 3.35% 3-0 @ 2.57% 3-2 @ 2.18% 4-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.73% Total : 35.7% | 1-1 @ 12.65% 0-0 @ 7.72% 2-2 @ 5.19% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.61% | 0-1 @ 10.04% 1-2 @ 8.24% 0-2 @ 6.54% 1-3 @ 3.58% 0-3 @ 2.84% 2-3 @ 2.25% 1-4 @ 1.16% 0-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.1% Total : 37.68% |
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