SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Gabon | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Comoros | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 4 | Ghana | 3 | -2 | 1 |
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | South Africa | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Namibia | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 64.77%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for South Africa had a probability of 13.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.69%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%), while for a South Africa win it was 0-1 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Morocco in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Morocco.
| Result | ||
| Morocco | Draw | South Africa |
64.77% ( 0.28) | 22.01% ( -0.01) | 13.21% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 40.96% ( -0.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.27% ( -0.5) | 54.72% ( 0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.95% ( -0.42) | 76.04% ( 0.41) |
| Morocco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.7% ( -0.08) | 16.29% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.14% ( -0.14) | 45.86% ( 0.14) |
| South Africa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.94% ( -0.75) | 51.06% ( 0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.62% ( -0.51) | 85.38% ( 0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Morocco | Draw | South Africa |
| 1-0 @ 15.09% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 13.69% ( 0.19)2-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 8.28% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 5.57% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 3.76% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.53% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.5% Total : 64.77% | 1-1 @ 10.14% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 8.32% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.01% | 0-1 @ 5.59% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.41% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.33% Total : 13.21% |
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