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Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 9, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Prince Moulay Abdallah
SA

Morocco
2 - 1
South Africa

En-Nesyri (51'), El Kaabi (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Foster (8')
Foster (24'), Sithole (44'), Williams (81')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Six:
Last Game: Morocco 2-1 South Africa
Thursday, June 9 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Next Game: Liberia vs. Morocco
Monday, June 13 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Current Group C Standings P GD PTS
1Morocco337
2Gabon315
3Comoros3-23
4Ghana3-21
Last Six:
Last Game: Morocco 2-1 South Africa
Thursday, June 9 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Next Game: South Africa vs. Liberia
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Morocco 2-1 South Africa

Both teams boast a plethora of attacking talent, so we expect an open and end-to-end affair with plenty of chances at either end. That said, we are also backing the home side to get the job done and come away with a hard-fought three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 64.77%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for South Africa had a probability of 13.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.69%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%), while for a South Africa win it was 0-1 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Morocco in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Morocco.

Result
MoroccoDrawSouth Africa
64.77% (0.28 0.28) 22.01% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 13.21% (-0.278 -0.28)
Both teams to score 40.96% (-0.663 -0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.27% (-0.502 -0.5)54.72% (0.494 0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.95% (-0.417 -0.42)76.04% (0.41 0.41)
Morocco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.7% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)16.29% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.14% (-0.141 -0.14)45.86% (0.13500000000001 0.14)
South Africa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.94% (-0.747 -0.75)51.06% (0.741 0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.62% (-0.507 -0.51)85.38% (0.502 0.5)
Score Analysis
    Morocco 64.77%
    South Africa 13.21%
    Draw 22.01%
MoroccoDrawSouth Africa
1-0 @ 15.09% (0.25 0.25)
2-0 @ 13.69% (0.19 0.19)
2-1 @ 9.21% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-0 @ 8.28% (0.096 0.1)
3-1 @ 5.57% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-0 @ 3.76% (0.033 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.53% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.87% (-0.06 -0.06)
5-0 @ 1.36% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.92% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 64.77%
1-1 @ 10.14% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 8.32% (0.159 0.16)
2-2 @ 3.09% (-0.091 -0.09)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 22.01%
0-1 @ 5.59% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.41% (-0.092 -0.09)
0-2 @ 1.88% (-0.045 -0.05)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 13.21%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: USA 3-0 Morocco
Thursday, June 2 at 12.30am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Morocco 4-1 Congo DR
Tuesday, March 29 at 8.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Congo DR 1-1 Morocco
Friday, March 25 at 3pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Egypt 2-1 Morocco
Sunday, January 30 at 3pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Morocco 2-1 Malawi
Tuesday, January 25 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Gabon 2-2 Morocco
Tuesday, January 18 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: France 5-0 South Africa
Tuesday, March 29 at 8.15pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: South Africa 0-0 Guinea
Friday, March 25 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Ghana 1-0 South Africa
Sunday, November 14 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: South Africa 1-0 Zimbabwe
Thursday, November 11 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: South Africa 1-0 Ethiopia
Tuesday, October 12 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Ethiopia 1-3 South Africa
Saturday, October 9 at 2pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa


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