SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Gabon | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Comoros | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 4 | Ghana | 3 | -2 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 43.12%. A draw had a probability of 29.7% and a win for Morocco had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.93%) and 2-1 (7.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.21%), while for a Morocco win it was 0-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that USA would win this match.
| Result | ||
| USA | Draw | Morocco |
43.12% ( -0.17) | 29.67% ( 0.02) | 27.2% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 40.85% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.38% ( -0.01) | 65.62% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.68% ( -0.01) | 84.32% ( 0.01) |
| USA Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.66% ( -0.1) | 30.34% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.48% ( -0.12) | 66.52% ( 0.12) |
| Morocco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.64% ( 0.12) | 41.36% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.12% ( 0.1) | 77.88% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| USA | Draw | Morocco |
| 1-0 @ 14.96% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 8.93% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 7.88% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.55% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.13% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.38% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.29% Total : 43.12% | 1-1 @ 13.21% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 12.54% 2-2 @ 3.48% ( 0)Other @ 0.44% Total : 29.66% | 0-1 @ 11.07% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.23% Total : 27.2% |
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