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World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Oct 12, 2021 at 2pm UK
 
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Namibia
1 - 3
Senegal

Shalulile (27')
Petrus (45+3'), Horaeb (77')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Diedhiou (22', 51', 84')
Diallo (73')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 46.55%. A win for Namibia had a probability of 28.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.19%). The likeliest Namibia win was 1-0 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Senegal would win this match.

Result
NamibiaDrawSenegal
28.04%25.41%46.55%
Both teams to score 53.1%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.74%50.26%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.79%72.21%
Namibia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.72%32.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.22%68.77%
Senegal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.41%21.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.31%54.69%
Score Analysis
    Namibia 28.04%
    Senegal 46.55%
    Draw 25.41%
NamibiaDrawSenegal
1-0 @ 7.88%
2-1 @ 6.83%
2-0 @ 4.46%
3-1 @ 2.58%
3-2 @ 1.97%
3-0 @ 1.68%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 28.04%
1-1 @ 12.08%
0-0 @ 6.97%
2-2 @ 5.24%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.41%
0-1 @ 10.68%
1-2 @ 9.26%
0-2 @ 8.19%
1-3 @ 4.73%
0-3 @ 4.18%
2-3 @ 2.68%
1-4 @ 1.81%
0-4 @ 1.6%
2-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 46.55%

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